GEO

Citation probability

A model’s estimated chance a URL gets cited for a prompt. Vendor scores are guesses. Your observed rate is the truth.

Use predicted scores only to prioritize briefs. Ship, then measure citation rate.

A 0.8 probability that never realizes is a bad model, not a near-miss trophy.

Examples

  • A tool says 72% chance. You run 20 prompts and get 2 citations. Believe the 10%.

Related terms

FAQ

Can I buy probability? +

No. You can buy content and PR that change the web. The score is a forecast.

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